Archive for October 28th, 2007
NFL Picks Week 8
Browns -3 at Rams: While the Rams are due to score a touchdown here sometime soon: I still feel like I can’t pick them again until they actually win a game… and even then maybe not. Browns cover.
Lions +5.5 at Bears: This is my official “don’t get this spread” of the week. I’ve discovered that I don’t pick these games well either. This is another game where I think the spread is going to own me. Lions Cover.
Colts -7 at Panthers: Nothing cute here. Colts cover.
Giants -9.5 “at” Dolphins (London): Anyone who would bet actual money on this game is insane. There should be some rule that it isn’t counted in pools. There are so many variables going into this game that I have no idea where to go. How will beer affect them there? Who will the crowd be behind? How will the players deal with British Hooligan fans who start singing chants in the crowd? Will there be references made to bangers and mash? Jet-lag? My first instinct here is to take the points. It feels safer. This is about the only lock I can come up with this week besides the Patriots covering. Dolphins +9.5.
Raiders +7 at Titans: The Raiders seem to have gotten good at covering spreads, so I’m riding that ship for a while. Raiders +7.
Eagles -1 at Vikings: Vikings… home… bad run defense. Adrian Peterson bandwagon. Vikings outright.
Steelers -3.5 at Bengals: The Bengals as a home underdog is tempting… they’re not nearly as good as people think they are… of course, neither were the Broncos last week. The Steelers should be back to form this week. Steelers cover.
Bills +3 at Jets: Can we consider the Bills a “hot lil team” yet? I think we have to. Add to that the probable beginning of the Kellen Clemens era and I’m calling this my upset of the week. Bills outright.
Texans +8.5 at Chargers: The Chargers are, unfortunately, back to where they should be. This will probably be a neutral site game, but this has the makings of one of those “the city needs us to be good” games… like the Piazza home run game and the Saints’ home opener last year. Chargers cover.
Jaguars -2.5 at Bucs: In one pool, the Bucs are the 2.5 underdog. In another they’re the 4.5 point favorite. I’m rattled. Bucs outright.
Saints -3 at Niners: There’s nothing I can say here other than the Saints should win this game. This of course means Niners by 25. Saints cover.
Redskins +16.5 at Patriots: Mike Francesca said it on Mike & The Mad Dog last week: “I’m taking them until they don’t cover a spread.” This is actually the first week I was considering NOT taking them… thinking the Redskins would likely be able to keep it within two scores… then I remembered the quarterback was Jason Campbell. I think he’ll be rattled and ineffective by 2 minutes into the second quarter. Patriots cover.
Packers +3 at Broncos: I’m not sure what this spread would be had the Broncos not beat the Steelers last week, but I’m pretty sure it was just a random upset… not a corner turn. I’m sure no one else has said this yet but “Ya just can’t bet against Favre on a Monday night!!!” Packers outright. 45 points.