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NFL Picks: Week 4

with 3 comments

No, I’m not going to talk about the Mets until they’re no longer in first place. So… football season’s all that’s going on.

YOU HEAR ME? IT’S ALL THAT’S GOING ON!!!

Bears -3 at Lions: The Lions defense stinks and gave up 56 points last week. The Bears defense is missing five starters. The Bears have also had a brutal schedule. Griese’s going to play a conservative game as to be the anti-Rex. This has upset written all over it in several different languages. Lions outright.

Rams +11 at Cowboys: I don’t think the Rams can win, but I think they can keep it within 10. I hate huge spreads and there’s a ton of them this week. Rams +11.

Raiders +3.5 at Dolphins: The Raiders are back to getting points. Legitimately, I do think they have a shot to win this game, but I’m also pretty sure the Dolphins have to buck the trend and win here at some point. I hate picking field goal spreads, but that’s what I’m going to do. Raiders +3.5.

Texans -3 at Falcons: The Falcons still have not given me a reason to pick them. Even though picking the Texans as a favorite still kills me. The Texans lost last week which means they’re no longer due for a let-down game. Texans cover.

Jets -3.5 at Bills: Since the Patriots apparently crush the souls out of teams and give them a one-week hangover, Jets cover.

Packers -2 at Vikings: I guess I have to start taking the Packers seriously… I really didn’t think I’d have to do this year. At some point I’m going to have to take Steve McNair’s cyborg title and hand it over to Brett Favre… but with all the media saliva on him already, I don’t know if there’s any room for me. However, the Pack’s due for a let-down game. Divisional game against a tough defense. Vikings outright.

Ravens -4.5 at Browns: I think the Browns are starting to get a little over-rated considering they’ve been playing teams with no defense to speak of. The Ravens aren’t one of those teams. I said last week that I hate picking against the Ravens with more than 3 points as they only beat the Cardinals by 3. I’m going to do the same thing this week. Browns +4.5.

Seahawks -2 at 49ers: The first hint here is that the Seahawks are away. The second is that the Niners are not horrible. Seattle is still a mediocre road team. Niners outright.

Broncos +9.5 at Colts: Just when I say I don’t really want to pick the Broncos anymore they go and give them 9.5 points. I like the Broncos in most situations with that many points, so I’ll take it again here. Broncos +9.5.

Chiefs +12.5 at Chargers: I get that this spread is supposed to indicate the Chargers are due to crush an inferior team. Baby steps, though. I don’t think I can legitimately pick the Chargers to cover 12.5 at this point. Chiefs +12.5.

Steelers -5.5 at Cardinals: Are the Steelers due to play ANY A-teams this season? The Cardinals did manage to keep it close last week off a great little relief appearance by Kurt Warner. It’ll be interesting to see how quickly the hook appears this week. Cardinals +5.5.

Bucs +2.5 at Panthers: Jeff Garcia Bandwagon. ‘Nuff said: Bucs outright.

Eagles -3 at Giants: Well, the Eagles put up 56 points last week and the Giants held the Redskins offense to nothing in the second half. I’m also going to this game since the Giants have apparently been depressing enough that they’re releasing tickets to ticketmaster. Face value Giant tickets and I’m in. Giants outright.

Patriots -7 at Bengals: Until the Patriots stop crushing teams by 25 points, I’m not picking against them without a college spread…. which they almost had last week and STILL covered it. Patriots cover, 50 total points.

Written by Tom

September 28th, 2007 at 3:22 pm

Posted in NFL, Sports

3 Responses to 'NFL Picks: Week 4'

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  1. Tom…it’s been at least three hours. By your own criteria stated above, when’s that Mets piece gonna be ready?

    Aaron

    29 Sep 07 at 12:47 am

  2. So…week-long column about the Mets coming up?

    The Big Show

    1 Oct 07 at 8:51 am

  3. Excuse me, I’m in the middle of preparing a cocktail of various downers… what was that you asked?

    Tom

    1 Oct 07 at 11:08 am

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